The Two-Child Policy?

August 26, 2009 at 6:20 pm | Posted in Economics, Science | Leave a comment

 I spotted this article a ways back, which naturally I found quite fascinating.  I wonder if the Chinese government had taken a good look at this:

Population Pyramid: Year 2000

Population Pyramid: Year 2050

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yes, this is the current projection — in forty years, the largest demographic segment of Chinese society will be women over eighty years old.  Their society and economy just isn’t set up to handle this.  And believe it or not, the situation is even worse in the urban areas — the above projections are based on a fertility rate of 1.77 children per woman (a stable population is about 2.1 children per women).  Shanghai has a fertility rate of 0.8 children per woman … and dropping.  No wonder they are scrambling!

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